Joe F. Rocks!
Growth Stock Investor & Market Strategist

• A Wave 2 Cyclical Bear Market Within A Secular Bull Market - 6-4-06
  
• A Cyclical Bear Market Appears To Have Begun - 5-21-06
  
• The Monthly Upcycle Rolled Over Last Week - 5-7-06
  
• A Multi Week Elliot Wave ABC Correction Probably Looms - 4-30-06
  
• The Monthly Cycle Has Probably Turned Down - 4-23-06
  
• The Monthly Upcycle's Big Wave 3 Finally Peaked - 4-9-06
  
• The Monthly Upcycle's Wave 4 Down Is In Effect - 4-2-06
  
• The Major Upcycle's Wave 5 Is In Effect - 3-26-06
  
• A Major Upcycle Wave 5 Buy Signal Occurred On 3-13-06 - 3-19-06
  
• The Major Upcycle's Wave 4 May Have Bottomed - 3-12-06
  
• Wave 4's Wave C Short Term Downcycle Is In Effect - 3-5-06
  
• The Major Upcycle's Wave 4 Is Likely To Bottom In Mid March - 2-26-05
  
• The Major Upcycle's Elliot Wave 4 Should Bottom In Mid March - 2-19-06
  
• The Major Upcycle's Elliot Wave 3 Broke Down On Tuesday 2-7 - 2-12-06
  
• The Major Upcycle's Elliot Wave 4 Has Probably Begun - 2-5-06
  
• S & P 500 Component (SPX) Newmont Mining (NEM) Is Leading To The Downside - 1-29-06
  
• Brace Yourself For The Major Upcycle's Elliot Wave 4 Down! - 1-22-06
  
• The Major Intermediate Term Upcycle's Elliot Wave 3 Lives - 1-15-06
  
• A New Indicator Reveals The Fed Has Been Spiking The Punch - 1-8-06
  
• Clear Signs Pointed To A Strong Short Term Upcycle - 1-1-06
  
• HUI, NEM, And The XAU Test Their December 12 Cycle Highs - 12-26-05
  
• A Short Term Upcycle Within A Likely Monthly Downcycle - 12-18-05
  
• The Elliot Wave 5 Short Term Upcycle Has Peaked - 12-11-05
  
• Welcome To The Monthly Upcycle's Elliot Wave 5 - 12-4-05
  
• The Monthly Upcycle's Elliot Wave 3 Has Rolled Over - 11-27-05
  
• HUI, NEM, XAU Monthly Upcycle Elliot Wave 4 Is In Effect - 11-20-05
  
• HUI/XAU Monthly Upcycle Wave 3 And A Classic Breakout Occurred - 11-13-05
  
• A Monthly Cycle Buy Signal Remains In Effect - 11-6-05
  
• A Monthly Cycle Buy Signal Occurred On Monday 10-24 - 10-30-05
  
• Monthly Cycle Lows Probably Occurred On Thursday 10-20 - 10-23-05
  
• The Monthly Cycle Appears To Be Bottoming - 10-16-05
  
• A Monthly Downcycle Is Probably Still In Effect - 10-9-05
  
• The Monthly Upcycle Has Rolled Over And Probably Peaked - 10-2-05
  
• HUI, NEM, XAU Hit Monthly Cycle Highs On September 19 - 9-25-05
  
• Reliable Lead Indicator NEM's Break Out Led To A Short Covering Stampede - 9-18-05
  
• HUI, NEM, And The XAU Rock Again Last Week - 9-11-05
  
• HUI, NEM, And The XAU Hit Monthly Cycle Buy Signals - 9-4-05
  
• HUI, NEM, XAU Elliot Wave Patterns and Gap Filling Action - 8-28-05
  
• The Minor Correction Has Probably Run It's Course - 8-21-05
  
• Keep A Close Eye On The Major Upcycle Channels - 8-14-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU's Major Breakout Led To A Short Covering Stampede - 8-7-05
  
• The NEM Lead Indicator Remained Bullish Last Week - 7-31-05
  
• HUI, NEM, XAU Hit Minor Intermediate Term Cycle Lows On July 19 - 7-24-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Appear To Be Bottoming - 7-17-05
  
• Gold & Silver COT Data Sends A Clearly Bullish Message - 7-10-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and XAU New Monthly Upcycles Appear To Have Begun - 7-3-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Hit Short Term Cycle Lows Early Last Week - 6-26-05
  
• NEM Filled It's Big Upside Gap To 40.25 From Late April - 6-19-05
  
• HUI, NEM, XAU Monthly Cycle Buy Signals Occurred On Friday June 10 - 6-12-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Probably Experienced Major Bottoms On May 16 - 6-5-05
  
• The Force Is With Us Fellow Precious Metals Jedis! - 5-29-05
  
• The Long Term Cycle Lows Hold and Useful Elliot Wave Patterns - 5-22-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU are Appoaching Their Bull Market Trendlines - 5-15-05
• Gold and Silver COT Data Sends a Bullish Message - 5-8-05
  
• The Bull Market Channels for HUI, NEM, and the XAU Remain Intact - 5-1-05
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Staged Impressive Rallies Early Last Week - 4-24-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Are Near The Bottom Of Their Bull Market Channels - 4-17-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Are In The Flat Early Part Of Their Intermediate Term Upcycles - 4-10-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Bounce Near Their Long Term Upcycle Trendlines - 4-3-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Approach Their Long Term Upcycle Trendlines - 3-27-05
  
• Commercial Trader Versus Speculator Battle Royal! - 3-20-05
  
• The COT Data Indicates That A Correction Looms - 3-13-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Hit Intermediate Term Cycle Sell Signals Last Week - 3-6-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Have Sharply Rising Channels - 2-27-05
  
• A Major Buying Opportunity Should Present Itself In The Next Few Weeks - 2-20-05
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Staged Impressive Rallies On High Volume Last Week After Hitting Their Bull Market Trendlines - 2-13-05
  
• The US Dollar's Intermediate Term Upcycle Is Rolling Over - 2-6-05
  
• The US Dollar's Intermediate Term Upcycle Sent Gold/Silver Stocks Down Last Week - 1-30-05
  
• Major Buy Signals Occurred On Friday January 21 For HUI, NEM, and the XAU - 1-23-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Test Their January 6 Lows - 1-16-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Take Out Their December 8, 2004 Lows - 1-9-05
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Found Support At Their Long Term Upcycle Trendlines on Wednesday December 29 - 1-2-05
  
• HUI, NEM, XAU Short Term Cycle Lows Appear To Be In - 12-26-04
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Put In A Major Bottom On December 8, 2004 - 12-19-04
  
• Reliable Lead Indicator NEM Appears to Have Put In A Major Bottom at 43 On December 8 - 12-12-04
  
• Uptrendlines for HUI, NEM, XAU since late July Broke Down On December 2 - 12-5-04
  
• Uptrendlines for HUI, NEM, and the XAU since late July Remained Intact Last Week - 11-28-04
  
• A Major Top for Gold/Silver Stocks Appears to Have Occurred on Wednesday 11-17 - 11-21-04
  
• HUI Exceeds October 8's Intermediate Term Cycle High (at 239.90) on Friday 11-12 - 11-14-04
  
• HUI/NEM/XAU Intermediate Term Cycle Buy Signals Confirmed on Friday 11-5 - 11-7-04
  
• Likely NEM Intermediate Term Cycle High Occurred at 48.08 on Wednesday October 27 - 10-31-04
  
• HUI Intermediate Term Cycle Low Occurred at 218.98 on Monday October 18 - 10-24-04
  
• NEM/XAU Intermediate Term Cycle Lows Occurred at 43.11 and 96.47 on Wednesday October 13 - 10-17-04
  
• HUI, NEM, XAU Long Term Upcycle Channels Suggest Relatively Modest Downside Risk - 10-10-04
  
• I Missed HUI/XAU Intermediate Term Cycle Buy Signals that Occurred on 9-14 (HUI) and 9-21 (XAU) - 10-3-04
  
• NEM Appears to Have Hit an Intermediate Term Cycle Low at 41.35 on 9-17 and Underperformed the XAU for Eleven Consecutive Sessions - 9-26-04
  
• NEM's Intermediate Term Downcycle Rolled Over With a Vengence on Friday 9-17 - 9-19-04
  
• HUI, NEM, and XAU Short Term Cycle Highs Probably Occurred on Friday 9-10 - 9-12-04
  
• HUI, NEM, and XAU Intermediate Term Cycle Sell Signals Confirmed on Friday 9-3 - 9-5-04
  
• HUI, NEM, and XAU Intermediate Term Cycle Highs Occurred on August 20 at 211.21, 44.74, and 96.24 Respectively - 8-29-04
  
• HUI, NEM, and XAU Long Term Cycle Lows Occurred on May 10 at 163.81, 34.70, and 76.79 Respectively - 8-22-04
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU Rally to Their Long Term Downcycle Trendlines and Gold Declines Modestly - 8-15-04
  
• Gold/Silver Stocks Hit a Short Term Cycle High on Tuesday August 3 and the Metals Play Catch Up - 8-8-04
  
• Gold/Silver Stocks Bounce After Reaching an Extremely Oversold Condition and Gold is Little Changed on the Week - 8-1-04
  
• The Long Term Downcycle has Rolled Over and the Intermediate Term Cycle Highs Are In - 7-25-04
  
• The Long Term Downcycle Remains in Effect for HUI, NEM and the XAU, and the Reliable Non Contrarian Gold Commercial Traders Dramatically Increased Their Net Short Position - 7-18-04
  
• Intermediate Term Cycle Highs May Have Occurred on Friday July 9 for HUI, NEM, and the XAU, and The Long Term Downcycle Remains in Effect - 7-11-04
  
• The Intermediate Term Cycle Buy Signals that Occurred on 6-24 for HUI, NEM and the XAU have failed, and the Long Term Downcycle has Rolled Over, Becoming More Parabolic/Sharply Declining - 7-3-04
  
• Risky Intermediate Term Cycle Buy Signals Occurred on Thursday June 24 for HUI, NEM, and the XAU, But The Long Term Downcycle Remains in Effect - 6-27-04
  
• The Long Term Downcycle and the Intermediate Term Downcycle Remain in Effect, but Gold Stocks Could (but probably won't) Surprise to the Upside Near Term - 6-20-04
  
• Long Term Cycle Lows for HUI, NEM, and the XAU are Likely in the Next Few Weeks - 6-13-04
  
• Intermediate Term Cycle Highs Occurred on Thursday May 27 and a Dramatic Decline to Long Term Cycle Lows for HUI, NEM, and the XAU is Likely in the Next Few Weeks - 6-6-04
  
• Intermediate Term Cycle Highs Probably Occurred on Thursday May 27 for HUI, NEM, and the XAU, so the Correction Should Reassert Itself This Week - 5-30-04
  
• Intermediate Term Cycle Lows Occurred on May 10 But Don't Get Excited - 5-23-04
  
• Last Week went Much as Expected for Gold Stocks - 5-16-04
  
• While NEM, HUI, and the XAU are within Striking Distance of their Bull Market/Very Long Term Upcycle Trendlines, the Downside Risk Remains Substantial - 5-9-04
  
• Concerning Monday 5-3 Reliable Lead Indicator NEM's Short Term, Intermediate Term, as well as Long Term Cycles are Heading Down which Portends Weakness in Precious Metals Stocks - 5-2-04
  
• HUI, the XAU, and NEM's Intermediate Term Downcycle Trendlines are about to Intersect the Bottom of Their Long Term Downcycle Channels which Strongly Suggests that an Intermediate Term Cycle Low is Likely Early This Week - 4-25-04
  
• One Can't Rule Out the Possibility that a Gold Stock Intermediate Term Cycle Low Occurred on Wednesday - 4-18-04
  
• Gold Stocks were Weak as Expected Last Week - 4-11-04
  
• Gold Stocks Surprised to the Upside Again last Week But HUI Remains in an Intermediate Term (modestly downtrending channel since it's 2-18 intermediate term cycle high at 242.20) and Long Term Downcycle and the XAU Remains in a Long Term Downcycle - 4-4-04
  
• HUI and the XAU Remain in Intermediate Term and Long Term Downcycles - 3-28-04
  
• HUI, NEM, and the XAU All Remain in Intermediate Term as well as Long Term Downcycles - 3-21-04
  
• Gold Stocks should really Dive this Week and an Intermediate Term Cycle Low is Likely at Some Point this Week or Next - 3-14-04
  
• Gold Stocks Surprised to the Upside Last Week with Reliable Lead Indicator NEM Rallying Nearly to it's Intermediate Term Cycle Downtrend Line - 3-7-04
  
• Confirmation of the NDX Long Term Cycle High at 1559.47 on 1-20-04 Occurred when the Straight Long Term Cycle Trendline Broke Down which Confirmed the Parabolic Trendline Sell Signal - 2-29-04
  
• What Happened early Last Week was that NEM, HUI and the XAU all put Additional Points on the Flat/Roundish Topping Area of Their Intermediate Term Cycle Parabolic Trendlines - 2-22-04
  
• HUI, NEM, the XAU, as well as NDX Flashed an Intermediate Term Cycle Sell Signal on 2-13-04 and SPX Flashed an Intermediate Term Cycle Sell Signal on 2-12-04 - 2-16-04
  
• An NDX Intermediate Term (months) Cycle Low appeared to have Occurred on 1-29-04 at 1474.13 but that Cycle Broke Down on 2-4-04 - 2-8-04
  
• Intermediate Term (months) Cycle Buy Signals Occurred on Friday January 30 for NDX, SPX, HUI and the XAU - 2-1-04
  
• An NDX (NASDAQ 100) Intermediate Term (months) Cycle High Occurred on 1-20-04 and an Intermediate Term Sell Signal Occurred on 1-21-04 - 1-25-04
  
• The Long Term Cycle (1-3 years) Channels/Rising Troughs Trendlines for HUI/XAU (HUI = AMEX Gold Bugs Index and the XAU = Philadelphia Gold/Silver Index) Broke Down on Thursday January 15 for HUI and on Wednesday January 14 for the XAU, which was a Long Term Cycle Sell Signal - 1-18-04
  
• NDX Appears to have Entered the Final Blowoff Phase of the Short Cyclical Bull Market that began with the Long Term Cycle Low on October 10, 2002 - 1-11-04
  
• A Clear Intermediate Term Buy Signal for the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Occurred on 12-29 - 1-4-04
  
• The XAU's Short Term Cycle Low on 12-23 at 101.49 was just a Hair Above the 12-11 Intermediate Term Cycle Low at 101.45 which was a Real Scare - 12-28-03
  
• The Intermediate Term Channels/Declining Peaks Trendlines for HUI/XAU (HUI = AMEX Gold Bugs Index and the XAU = Philadelphia Gold/Silver Index) were Broken to the Upside on Friday December 12 which was an Intermediate Term Buy Signal - 12-14-03
  
• The Parabolic Shaped Intermediate Term Uptrends of HUI, the XAU, and NEM have all Broken Down and Flashed an Intermediate Term Sell Signal on December 3 - 12-7-03
  
• The Theory is that when the XAU Put/Call Ratio (for the nearest expiration) Appears to Fail it Tells You Something that's Extremely Important - 11-30-03
  
• An Intermediate Term (months) Cycle High for the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) occurred at 1453.46 on 11-7 and a Clear Intermediate Term Sell Signal occurred on 11-18 - 11-23-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Monday - 11-16
  
• The Intermediate Term Channels/Declining Peaks Trendlines for HUI/XAU were Broken to the Upside on Friday November 7 which is an Intermediate Term Buy Signal - 11-9-03
  
• It Appears October 15 is an Intermediate Term Cycle High for NDX since it occurred at a Higher Level (1439.97) than the October 30 (Likely) Short Term Cycle High - 11-02-03
  
• The Key Thing on Monday is to Watch Newmont Mining (NEM) and the XAU's Narrow Sharply Uptrending Channels - 10-26-03
  
• The Intermediate Term Channels/Declining Peaks Trendlines for HUI/XAU were Broken to the Upside on Thursday October 16 which is an Intermediate Term Buy Signal - 10-19-03
  
• The NASDAQ Appears to be Near (a few weeks) an Important Top - 10-12-03
  
• On Friday 10-3 HUI/XAU got Hammered BUT an Intermediate Term Cycle Low appears Likely on Monday 10-6 or Tuesday 10-7 - 10-5-03
  
• Intermediate Term Sell Signals occurred for NDX (NASDAQ 100), QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock), and SPX (S & P 500) on Monday September 22 when their Rising Troughs Trendlines Broke Down - 9-28-03
  
• Very Short Term Cycle Highs occurred early on Friday 9-12 at 95.06 for the XAU and 205.69 for HUI which were Lower than the Previous Very Short Term Cycle Highs on Tuesday 9-9 at 96.46 for the XAU and 206.76 for HUI, Suggesting that those Highs on Tuesday September 9 are the Intermediate Term Cycle Highs - 9-14-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Monday - 9-7-03
  
• Gold Broke Out of it's Triangle Pattern Last Week - 8-31-03
  
• QQQ broke above it's Very Short Term Trendline of Declining Peaks on Tuesday which is a Trendline Buy Signal - 8-26-03
  
• HUI hit a Trendline Buy Signal (broke above the very short term declining peaks trendline) on Monday August 25 and Experienced a Very Short Term Cycle Low at 178.55 - 8-25-03
  
• NDX (NASDAQ 100) broke above it's Declining Peaks Trendline (in place since July 14's intermediate term cycle high of 1316.42) on Tuesday which appears to be, as Surprising as it Seems, an Intermediate Term Buy Signal - 8-20-03
  
• HUI and the XAU hit Trendline Buy Signals (They broke above Their Very Short Term Declining Peaks Trendlines) on Tuesday August 19 - 8-19-03
• NDX and QQQ Broke Well Above Their Short Term Uptrending Channels on Monday Which Indicates that Short Term Cycle Highs May Have Occurred - 8-18-03
  
• It's Possible that Short Term Cycle Highs occurred on Thursday August 14 for HUI near 184 and for the XAU near 89 - 8-17-03
  
• The XAU Put/Call Ratio for the September 19 Expiration at an Extremely High Level of 1.447 (calculated mid session on Tuesday) is Sending a Very Bullish Message for Gold Stocks - 8-12-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Tuesday - 8-11-03
  
• NDX and QQQ are Trading in Very Short Term Uptrending Channels that Began on Friday August 8 when the Trendline of Declining Peaks was Broken which is a Trendline Buy Signal - 8-10-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Thursday - 8-6-03
  
• A Very Weak Open Followed by Strength is a Likely Scenario for Wednesday - 8-5-03
  
• The Short Term Uptrending Channels for NDX/QQQ/OEX since July 21 Broke Down on Monday August 4 which is a Trendline Sell Signal - 8-4-03
  
• The Very High Volatility of the Gold and Especially the Silver Stocks Last Week Typically Portends Strength just as a Spike in Implied Volatility Would - 8-3-03
  
• NDX, QQQ, and OEX are in Short Term Uptrending Channels that Began in Mid July - 7-31-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Thursday - 7-30-03
  
• HUI and the XAU hit Trendline Sell Signals on Monday - 7-29-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday - 7-28-03
  
• The XAU Put/Call Ratio's Rise to 0.856 on Friday Portends Continued Strength on Monday - 7-27-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday - 7-24-03
  
• The Intermediate Term Parabolic Downtrending Line of Declining Peaks in Place for Both HUI/XAU since June 19's Intermediate Term Cycle High was Broken to the Upside Dramatically on Wednesday July 23 (HUI rose 6.45% and the XAU rose 5.35%) which is an Intermediate Term Buy Signal - 7-23-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday - 7-22-03
  
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Tuesday - 7-21-03
• HUI/XAU Experienced Very Short Term Channel/Trendline Buy Signals on Thursday July 17 - 7-17-03
• NDX's (NASDAQ 100) Uptrending Channel In Place since the Beginning of July Broke Down on Wednesday - 7-16-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Wednesday - 7-15-03
• NASDAQ 100 (NDX)/S & P 100 (OEX) Short Term Cycles made New Highs on Monday which indicates that the Intermediate Term Uptrends are Still In Place because they Exceeded the June Highs - 7-14-03
• Silver Appears to have Experienced an Intermediate Term Cycle High at the Top of it's Triangle Last Week - 7-13-03
• Value Stocks/OEX Appear to have Experienced an Intermediate Term Cycle High in Mid/Late June which means it's likely that Wednesday July 9's NDX (NASDAQ 100) Short Term Cycle High at 1307.03 Will End Up Being the Intermediate Term Cycle High for NDX/Growth Stocks - 7-10-03
• Value Stocks (OEX is mostly value) may have Experienced an Intermediate Term Cycle High in mid/late June at about the Same Time that Gold Stocks Did - 7-9-03
• The Intermediate Term Cycle High Appears to be in for Both HUI/XAU - 7-8-03
• The "Likely" NDX (NASDAQ 100) Intermediate Term Cycle High of 1265.69 on June 6 was Taken Out on Monday July 7 with a New High for this Intermediate Term Cycle of 1282.31 - 7-7-03
• The CBOE Put/Call Ratio (at an extremely high level (at or above 1.05) of 1.08 at Thursday's close) and the NASDAQ TRIN (closed at a bearish level of 1.32 (much more activity in declining issues) on Thursday) Indicate that Early Weakness is Likely - 7-6-03
• NDX (NASDAQ 100) is at the Top of it's Downtrending Channel going back to Early June with the First Channel High at the Likely Intermediate Term Cycle High of 1265.69 on June 6 - 7-2-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday - 7-1-03
• Both HUI/XAU Followed Through Significantly on their Trendline Buy Signals on Monday which Confirms the Buy Signal - 6-30-03
• On Friday both HUI/XAU broke through their Short Term Downtrend Lines (the Top Line of their Short Term Downtrending Channels) which is a Short Term Buy Signal - 6-29-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday - 6-26-03
• The Fed cut by 25 Basis Points keeping a Weak Economy Bias (easing bias) which is Bullish for Gold/Gold Stocks/Euro FX and Bearish for the Major Averages/US Dollar - 6-25-03
• Wether the Fed cuts by 25 or 50 Basis Points on Wednesday the US Dollar will probably begin a Sustained Decline at about the Time the Rate Decision is Announced - 6-24-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday because the Very Sharp Rise in Complacency that occurred for the NASDAQ 100 and the Unusual Rise in Fear that occurred for the S & P 100/Value Stocks will probably Result in Weakness - 6-23-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Thursday - 6-18-03
• Long Awaited Major Breakouts occurred for HUI/XAU - 6-17-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Tuesday - 6-16-03
• The CBOE Put/Call Ratio at a Moderate Level (at or above 0.50 but below 0.75) of 0.73 at Friday's close Suggests there will be Strength Early on Monday - 6-15-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely Again on Friday - 6-12-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Thursday - 6-11-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Collapsed on Tuesday - 6-10-03
• The Market Appears to have Experienced an Intermediate Term Cycle High on Friday June 6 (NDX (NASDAQ 100) 1265.69) and a Short Term as well as an Intermediate Term Sell Signal Occurred on Monday - 6-9-03
• The Market may have Experienced an Intermediate Term Cycle High on Friday June 6 (NDX (NASDAQ 100) 1265.69) - 6-8-03
• Intermediate Term Cycle High Timing can probably be Finetuned (after seeing an unusual rise in fear) by Waiting for Dramatic Deterioration in the Market's Health - 6-5-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Thursday - 6-4-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) was a Mixed Picture on Tuesday - 6-3-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Grew Dramatically on Monday - 6-2-03
• It's Time to Label the Market Now for What it is, a Bear Market Bubble - 6-1-03 for Friday 5-30's session
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday because a Sharply Rising Wall of Worry (VIX, VXN, QQV) in Recent Sessions may indicate the Intermediate Term Cycle will soon Head Down - 5-29-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Grew Substantially on Wednesday - 5-28-03
• The NASDAQ 100 (NDX) took out the May 13 High of 1165.53 (which appeared to be the Intermediate Term Cycle High) with a New High for this Cycle (that began on March 13) of 1174.16 - 5-27-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday - 5-26-03 for Friday 5-23's session
• The CBOE Put/Call Ratio at a Very High Level (above 1.05) of 1.16 at Thursday's Close Suggests there will be Potentially Severe Weakness Early on Friday - 5-22-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Wednesday - 5-21-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Wednesday - 5-20-03
• An Intermediate Term as well as a Short Term Technical Sell Signal for the Major Averages occurred on Monday - 5-19-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Monday - 5-18-03 for Friday 5-16's session
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Thursday - 5-15-03
• An Intermediate Term Cycle High for NDX (NASDAQ 100) may have Occurred on Tuesday at 1165.53 - 5-14-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely on Wednesday because the Modest Rise in Fear that Occurred for the NASDAQ 100 and the Sharp Rise in Fear for the S & P 100/Value Stocks will Probably Result in Strength - 5-13-03
• The Unusually Large Rise in NASDAQ Fear Probably Indicates that an Intermediate Term Cycle High is Imminent - 5-12-03
• Substantial Money Flowed Out of the NASDAQ on Friday with 3826 Downtick Block Trades (10,000+ shares) versus only 3334 Uptick Block Trades - 5-11-03 for Friday 5-9's session
• Thursday's Technical Sell Signal is probably an Intermediate Term Sell Signal for the Major Averages - 5-8-03
• An Intermediate Term Cycle High for the Major Averages may have Occurred on Tuesday - 5-07-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday due to Cisco Systems (CSCO) Seeing no Sign of Recovery and the Fed Changing Their Bias to Conditions Favoring Economic Weakness which will Probably Result in Weakness - 5-6-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday - 5-5-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) was a Mixed Picture on Friday - 5-4-03 for Friday 5-2's session
• The CBOE Put/Call Ratio at an Elevated Level (at or above 0.75 but below 0.90) of 0.85 at Thursday's Close Suggests there will be Weakness Early on Friday - 5-1-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Wednesday - 4-30-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday due to the Dramatic Collapse of the Wall of Worry (VIX, VXN, and QQV) in Recent Weeks - 4-29-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday due to the Significant Rise in Complacency for NDX (NASDAQ 100) and OEX (S & P 100) which will Probably Result in Weakness - 4-28-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Friday - 4-27-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday because the Significant Rise in Complacency for QQQ and the S & P 100/Value Stocks Suggests there will be Weakness - 4-24-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely with Downside Risk on Thursday - 4-23-03
• QQQ is Near the Top of it's Uptrending Channel on Tuesday which Suggests Limited Upside and Potentially Substantial Downside on Wednesday - 4-22-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday due to the Significant Rise in Complacency that Occurred for NDX and the S & P 100/Value Stocks on Monday - 4-21-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Thursday - 4-20-03 for Thursday 4-17's session
• Strength Early followed by Weakness is a Likely Scenario on Thursday - 4-16-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday after a likely Early "Pop" resulting from After Hour Strength on Tuesday - 4-15-03
• QQQ hit a Technical Sell Signal (RSI, stochastics flashed sell) on Monday 3-24 and is Near the Top of it's Recent Downtrending Price Channel - 4-14-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Monday Due to Friday's Sharp Rise in Complacency - 4-13-03 for Friday 4-11's session
• QQQ is Near the Top of it's Recent Downtrending Price Channel which Suggests Limited Upside and Potentially Substantial Downside on Friday - 4-10-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely with Downside Risk on Thursday - 4-9-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Tuesday which Portends Weakness on Wednesday - 4-8-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday - 4-7-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Grew on Friday - 4-6-03 for Friday 4-4's session
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday due to the Major Rise in Complacency Recently - 4-3-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Thursday due to the Major Rise in Complacency Recently which will probably Result in Weakness - 4-2-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Tuesday - 4-1-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely with Downside Risk (intermediate term cycle is heading down) on Tuesday - 3-31-03
• A Gold Stock Intermediate Term Buy Signal Appears to have Occurred on Friday - 3-30-03 for Friday 3-28's session
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday - 3-27-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Wednesday - 3-26-03
• The S & P 100 is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday - 3-25-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Didn't Hold Up Well on Monday - 3-24-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Collapsed on Friday - 3-23-03 for Friday 3-21's session
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday because the Sharp Rise in Complacency that Occurred for QQQ and VIX will probably Result in Weakness - 3-20-03
• Early Modest Strength followed by Weakness is a Likely Scenario on Thursday - 3-19-03
• Early Strength followed by Weakness is a Likely Scenario on Wednesday - 3-18-03
• Basically All of Monday's Rally Occurred Within Less Than the First Two Hours of Trading - 3-17-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely with Downside Risk on Monday - 3-16-03 for Friday 3-14's session
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday Due to the Rise in Complacency Experienced by QQQ and NDX - 3-13-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Revealed that Fear Crept in on Wednesday - 3-12-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Modestly Untimely on Wednesday due to QQQ and OEX's Rise in Complacency and the Fact that QQQ is near the Bottom of it's Downtrending Price Channel which should Limit the Downside - 3-11-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely With Downside Risk on Tuesday due to OEX and QQQ's Very Sharp Rise in Fear - 3-10-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Monday due to QQQ and OEX's Significant Rise in Complacency - 3-9-03 for Friday 3-7's session
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Grew Substantially on Thursday - 3-6-03
• Modest Strength Early On Followed by Potentially Substantial Weakness is a Likely Scenario on Thursday - 3-5-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Tuesday - 3-4-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Tuesday because of NDX's and the S & P 100's Significant Rise in Complacency - 3-3-03
• Weakness after likely Early Strength is a Likely Scenario on Monday - 3-2-03 for Friday 2-28's session
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Friday because the NASDAQ's Rise in Fear was Modest and the S & P 100's Rise in Complacency was Substantial, thus, Weakness will Probably Occur on Friday - 2-27-03
• A NASDAQ Technical Breakdown (RSI) Occurred on Monday 2-24 that was Confirmed by Wednesday 2-26's Sharp Decline and Stochastics Breakdown - 2-26-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Wednesday - 2-25-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely with Downside Risk on Tuesday due to the Significant Rise in Fear that occurred for QQQ and the Very Sharp Rise in Fear for the S & P 100 - 2-24-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Collapsed on Friday - 2-23-03 for Friday 2-21's session
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely with Downside Risk on Friday - 2-20-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN and QQV) Shrank on Wednesday - 2-19-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Timely with Downside Risk (downside risk because the intermediate term cycle peaked on December 2) on Wednesday - 2-18-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Shrank on Friday - 2-16-03 for Friday 2-14's session
• The NASDAQWall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Rose Dramatically on Thursday - 2-13-03
• Early Weakness followed by Strength is a Likely Scenario on Thursday with Downside Risk following any Rallies - 2-12-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday Due to a Significant Rise in Complacency - 2-11-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) was a Mixed Picture on Monday - 2-10-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Revealed that Complacency Crept In on Friday - 2-9-03 for Friday 2-7's session
• The NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) opened Modestly Lower at 1298.70 on Thursday and Basically Trended Sideways with Modest Volatility Throughout the Session - 2-6-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) was a Mixed Picture on Wednesday - 2-5-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Untimely on Wednesday due to Cisco's Cautious Guidance with Probable Strength after likely Early Weakness - 2-4-04
• Once the ISM Manufacturing Report News was Factored In COMPX/NDX Behaved as Expected, Working Lower by Session's End - 2-3-03
• The NASDAQ is Deemed Modestly Untimely on Monday - 2-2-03 for Friday 1-31's session
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) revealed a Sharp Rise in Fear on Thursday - 1-30-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Revealed a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency on Wednesday - 1-29-03
• QQQ is Closer to the Top of it's Downtrending Price Channel than the Bottom which implies Downside Action or Limited Upside on Wednesday - 1-28-03
• It isn't only about Timing Rallies but about keeping the Degree of Risk in Mind which is now Far too High to Consider being Long - 1-27-03
• Normally, the Significant Rise in NASDAQ Fear on Friday combined with a Major Rise in Fear for the S & P 100 (OEX) on Friday (VIX (OEX Volatility Index) rose dramatically (+4.80 (+15.50%) to 35.77)) would Portend Strength in the Major Averages on Monday - 1-26-03 for Friday 1-24's session.
• The NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) opened Sharply Higher at 1377.50 on Thursday which Largely Represented the Gains seen Afterhours on Wednesday - 1-23-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) was a Mixed Picture on Wednesday - 1-22-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Rose on Tuesday - 1-21-03
• Surprisingly, the NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Collapsed on Friday Despite a Steep Decline - 1-19-03 for Friday 1-17's session.
• After a brief "Pop" during the First Half Hour the NASDAQ Composite (COMPX), Thanks to Intel's Lowered 2003 Capital Expenditures Guidance on Tuesday as well as other Disappointing Earnings Reports/Guidance, Trended Lower most of the Remainder of the Session to Close at 1423.75, -15.05 (-1.05%)- 1-16-03
• Intel's Lower 2003 Capital Expenditures Guidance and a possible Technical Sell Signal on Wednesday (QQQ RSI trending sharply lower) is likely to Result in Continued Weakness on Thursday - 1-15-03
• The Current Rally in the Major Averages is probably About to End due to Sell on the News Profit Taking as a Result of Weak Forward Guidance by "Gorillas" like Intel which will Affect many Other Firms and Reflects the Sluggish Economic Environment - 1-14-03
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) was a Mixed Picture on Monday with VXN revealing that a Significant Rise in Complacency occurred for NDX (NASDAQ 100) but QQV revealed that a very Sharp Rise in Fear occurred for QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock) which Portends Weakness on Tuesday because much of the Rise in QQV was probably a Natural Rebound after a Collapse in Recent Sessions - 1-13-03
• VXN (41.29 low on Friday) and QQV (34.84 low on Friday) fell to New Lows for this Intermediate Term Cycle (that began on 10-10 when VIX rose above the extreme level of 50 to 50.48) which is an Extreme of Complacency - 1-12-03 for Friday 1-10's session
• The NASDAQ Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) didn't Hold Up Well on Thursday with VXN Revealing that a Modest Rise in Complacency occurred for NDX (NASDAQ 100) and QQV Revealed that a very Sharp Rise in Complacency occurred for QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock) which Portends Weakness on Friday - 1-09-03
• The NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) Opened Significantly Lower on Wednesday at 1423.29 and, Thanks to Earnings Warnings/Weak Forecasts from Gateway (GTW) and Intel (INTC), COMPX Trended Lower Most of the Session to Close at 1401.07, -30.50 (-2.13%) - 1-08-03
• There was a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency Intraday (VXN and QQV collapsed after a sharp early rise) which Portends NASDAQ Weakness on Wednesday- 1-7-03
• The Fact that the Wall of Worry (VIX, VXN, QQV) hasn't Held Up Well Recently and is Near the Low End of it's Range for this Cycle Suggests that the Upside in the Major Averages Near Term will be Limited and there will be Likely Substantial Downside - 1-6-03
• The Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) didn't hold up well on Friday with VXN revealing that a Sharp Rise in Complacency occurred for NDX (NASDAQ 100) and QQV revealed that a Sharp Rise in Complacency occurred for QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock) which Portends NASDAQ Weakness on Monday - 1-5-03 for Friday 1-3's session

• 10-20-02 For Friday 10-18's session.
• 10-21-02
• 10-22-02
• 10-23-02
• 10-24-02
• 10-27-02 For Friday 10-25's session
• 10-28-02
• 10-29-02
• 10-30-02
• Substantial Fear Crept into the NASDAQ on Thursday Which is a Positive that Portends Strength on Friday - 10-31-02.
• A Major Rise in Complacency Occurred During Friday's Session Which is a Major Negative That Portends Weakness on Monday - 11-3-02 for Friday 11-1's session
• The CBOE Put/Call Ratio Closed at a Moderate Level of 0.67 on Monday Which Points to Strength in the NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) Early on Tuesday Because It's a Reliable Non Contrarian Indicator of the Next Session's Early Action -11-4-02
• Both VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index) Rose Sharply Despite Gains in NDX (NASDAQ 100)/QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock) Which is a Sharp Rise in Fear That Portends NASDAQ Strength on Wednesday - 11-05-02
• The Jump in Fear at Mid Session and the Market's Realization That the 50 Basis Point Rate Cut was the Right Decision for the Economy Helped Sharply Rally the NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) to a close at 1418.99 (+17.82 (+1.27%)) - 11-06-02
• The Stochastics for QQQ Have Been Trending Lower Recently Even as it Rallied Sharply, Which was Yet Another Major Red Flag - 11-07-02
• Both VXN (-3.51%) and QQV (-2.79%) Fell Sharply Despite Sharp Declines in NDX (NASDAQ 100, -1.69%) and QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock, -1.84%) Which Portends Further Weakness on Monday - 11-10-02 for Friday 11-8's session
• Both VXN (+7.11%) and QQV (+8.51%) Rose Very Sharply on Monday but Most of the Rise Occurred Early in the Session Which Indicates That a Significant Degree of Complacency Crept into the NASDAQ During the Session Which Portends Continued Weakness Early on Tuesday - 11-11-02
• Fear Rose Sharply at Session's End as the NASDAQ Sold Off Which Portends Strength Early on Wednesday - 11-12-02
• QQV Fell Significantly More in Percentage Terms Than QQQ Rose Which Portends Weakness in QQQ on Thursday - 11-13-02
• VIX Fell by 10.14% on Thursday Which is a Major Rise in Complacency that Portends Potentially Severe Weakness in the Major Averages in the Short Term since Growth and Value Trend in Tandem at this Stage of the Cycle - 11-14-02
• VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index, -5.19%) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index, -8.25%) Fell Very Sharply Despite Relatively Modest Gains in NDX (NASDAQ 100, +0.33%) and QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock, +1.30%) Which Reveals that a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency Occurred on Friday Which Portends Potentially Severe Weakness on Monday - 11-17-02 for Friday 11-15's session
• VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index, -1.59 (-3.20%) to 48.09) Revealed a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency Again on Monday by Falling Sharply Despite a Sharp Drop in NDX (NASDAQ 100, -1.52%) Which Portends Further Weakness on Tuesday - 11-18-02
• VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index, -2.57 (-5.34%) to 45.52) Revealed a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency Again on Tuesday by Falling Very Sharply Despite a Sharp Drop in NDX (NASDAQ 100, -1.84%) Which Portends Continued Weakness on Wednesday - 11-19-02
• A Major Negative is the Fact that QQV (QQQ Volatility Index, -2.78 (-6.86%) to 37.76) Fell Very Sharply Versus QQQ's Very Sharp but Considerably More Modest Percentage Gain (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock, +4.13%) Which is a Sharp Rise in Complacency on Wednesday That Portends Weakness on Thursday - 11-20-02
• How do Growth Stocks, which Rely on Strong Economic Growth, Enter a Bull Market with Net Selling of NASDAQ Stocks in Recent Months and an Economy so Weak the Fed Just had to Cut 50 Basis Points Even Though 25 Was Expected? - 11-21-02
• VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index, +1.79 (+4.00%) to 46.49) Rose very Sharply versus a very Modest Decline in NDX (NASDAQ 100, -2.13 (-0.19%) to 1116.01), so a very Sharp Rise in Fear Occurred again on Friday Which Portends Further Strength - 11-24-02 for Friday 11-22's session
• There was Respectable Follow Through on Thursday's Breakout again as expected on Monday for the Major NASDAQ Averages with the NASDAQ Composite (COMPX) closing up 13.22 (+0.90%) to 1481.96 - 11-25-02
• NDX (NASDAQ 100) Dropped like a Rock on Tuesday closing much closer (at 1087.49) to the Session Low of 1083.86 than the High of 1119.71 which is a Negative - 11-26-02
• A Major Rise in Fear occurred for Value Stocks on Wednesday with VIX (OEX (S & P 100) Volatility Index) rising very Sharply (+2.10 (+7.31%) to 30.84) Despite a Sharp Rise in OEX (S & P 100, +13.28 (+2.84%) to 480.36), which is a Major Sentiment Reversal for Value Stocks  - 11-27-02
• The Major Rise in Fear that Began the Week Before Last Continued on Friday with VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index, +2.06 (+4.34%) to 49.48) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index, +1.51 (+3.68%) to 42.58) Rising Much More in Percentage Terms than NDX (NASDAQ 100, -9.57 (-0.85%) to 1116.10) and QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock, -0.19 (-0.68%) to 27.72) Fell - 12-01-02 for Friday 11-29's session
• The November ISM Index National Manufacturing Report came in Weaker than Expected at 49.2, Revealing Economic Contraction (below 50), and all the Major Averages Dramatically Reversed Course along with the Bulls' Hopes for a Big Day and Breakouts above 200 day moving averages Holding for both COMPX and NDX - 12-02-02
• A Modest Degree of Fear Crept into the NASDAQ on Tuesday Which Suggests that Follow Through to the Downside is Likely on Wednesday - 12-03-02
• A Sharp Drop in QQV at Session's End Plus the Fact that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and the Stochastics for QQQ were on an Intraday Sell Signal at Session's End on Wednesday Suggests that Early Weakness is likely on Thursday and another Down Session or at Best a Modest Gain is Probably in the Cards - 12-04-02
• The Fact that Complacency crept into the NASDAQ on Thursday despite a Third Consecutive Weak Session Indicates Continued Weakness is Likely on Friday- 12-05-02
• If You look at QQQ's Sharp Downtrending Price Channel QQQ is much closer to the Top of the Channel than the Bottom which suggests Limited Upside and Potentially Substantial Downside Near Term - 12-08-02 for Friday 12-6's session
• The CBOE Put/Call Ratio at a Moderate Level of 0.72 Suggests there will be Strength fairly early on Tuesday as does the Extremely Oversold Condition of the NASDAQ at Session's End on Monday (NASDAQ TRIN closed at an extremely oversold level of 4.93 (indicating overwhelmingly more activity in declining issues)) - 12-09-02
• If One looks at QQQ's sharp Downtrending Price Channel QQQ rallied up to the middle of the Channel on Tuesday, which, Considering the very sharp rise in Complacency Recently, Suggests Limited Upside and Potentially Substantial Downside on Wednesday - 12-10-02
• A Sharp Rise in Complacency occurred for QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock, +0.12 (+0.47%) to 25.72) since QQQ rose much less in Percentage Terms than QQV (QQQ Volatility Index, -1.20 (-2.69%) to 43.43) fell which Portends Weakness in QQQ on Thursday - 12-11-02
• Breaking above the very important $330 Long Term Resistance Level (at $331.10) has Major Significance for Gold and confirms a likely Long Term Bull Market - 12-12-02
• If One looks at QQQ's Sharp Downtrending Price Channel, QQQ fell to the Middle of the Channel on Friday, which, considering the Major Rise in Complacency recently, suggests Limited Upside and Potentially Substantial Downside on Monday - 12-15-02 for Friday 12-13's session
• The Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) Held Up Well as the Major NASDAQ Averages Rallied at Session's End which, in Concert with a Bullish Level of the NASDAQ TRIN Which Closed at 0.56 (indicating much more activity in rising issues), Suggests Follow Through to the Upside is Likely Early on Tuesday - 12-16-02
• VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) Fell -1.70 (-3.41%) to 48.14 While NDX (NASDAQ 100) Fell -2.42 (-0.23%) to 1040.02 Which Reveals that a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency Occurred for NDX Because VXN fell Very Sharply in Percentage Terms despite NDX falling Which Portends Weakness in NDX on Wednesday - 12-17-02
• A Very Oversold Level of the NASDAQ TRIN Which Closed at 2.58 (indicating much more activity in declining issues), Suggests Modest Strength is Likely on Thursday after Likely Early Weakness - 12-18-02
• The Wall of Worry was a Mixed Picture on Thursday with VXN revealing that a Significant Rise in Complacency occurred for NDX (NASDAQ 100) but QQV revealed that a Sharp Rise in Fear occurred for QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock) after a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency occurred on Wednesday - 12-19-02
• The Wall of Worry (VXN (NASDAQ 100 Volatility Index) and QQV (QQQ Volatility Index)) didn't Hold Up Well on Friday with VXN Revealing that a Significant Rise in Complacency occurred for NDX (NASDAQ 100) and QQV Revealed that a Very Sharp Rise in Complacency occurred for QQQ (NASDAQ 100 Tracking Stock) which Portends NASDAQ Weakness on Monday - 12-22-02 for Friday 12-20's session

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